Advanced Forecasting with Python

Advanced Forecasting with Python PDF Author: Joos Korstanje
Publisher: Apress
ISBN: 9781484271490
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 296

Book Description
Cover all the machine learning techniques relevant for forecasting problems, ranging from univariate and multivariate time series to supervised learning, to state-of-the-art deep forecasting models such as LSTMs, recurrent neural networks, Facebook’s open-source Prophet model, and Amazon’s DeepAR model. Rather than focus on a specific set of models, this book presents an exhaustive overview of all the techniques relevant to practitioners of forecasting. It begins by explaining the different categories of models that are relevant for forecasting in a high-level language. Next, it covers univariate and multivariate time series models followed by advanced machine learning and deep learning models. It concludes with reflections on model selection such as benchmark scores vs. understandability of models vs. compute time, and automated retraining and updating of models. Each of the models presented in this book is covered in depth, with an intuitive simple explanation of the model, a mathematical transcription of the idea, and Python code that applies the model to an example data set. Reading this book will add a competitive edge to your current forecasting skillset. The book is also adapted to those who have recently started working on forecasting tasks and are looking for an exhaustive book that allows them to start with traditional models and gradually move into more and more advanced models. What You Will Learn Carry out forecasting with Python Mathematically and intuitively understand traditional forecasting models and state-of-the-art machine learning techniques Gain the basics of forecasting and machine learning, including evaluation of models, cross-validation, and back testing Select the right model for the right use case Who This Book Is For The advanced nature of the later chapters makes the book relevant for applied experts working in the domain of forecasting, as the models covered have been published only recently. Experts working in the domain will want to update their skills as traditional models are regularly being outperformed by newer models.

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python

Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python PDF Author: Francesca Lazzeri
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 111968238X
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 224

Book Description
Learn how to apply the principles of machine learning to time series modeling with this indispensable resource Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is an incisive and straightforward examination of one of the most crucial elements of decision-making in finance, marketing, education, and healthcare: time series modeling. Despite the centrality of time series forecasting, few business analysts are familiar with the power or utility of applying machine learning to time series modeling. Author Francesca Lazzeri, a distinguished machine learning scientist and economist, corrects that deficiency by providing readers with comprehensive and approachable explanation and treatment of the application of machine learning to time series forecasting. Written for readers who have little to no experience in time series forecasting or machine learning, the book comprehensively covers all the topics necessary to: Understand time series forecasting concepts, such as stationarity, horizon, trend, and seasonality Prepare time series data for modeling Evaluate time series forecasting models’ performance and accuracy Understand when to use neural networks instead of traditional time series models in time series forecasting Machine Learning for Time Series Forecasting with Python is full real-world examples, resources and concrete strategies to help readers explore and transform data and develop usable, practical time series forecasts. Perfect for entry-level data scientists, business analysts, developers, and researchers, this book is an invaluable and indispensable guide to the fundamental and advanced concepts of machine learning applied to time series modeling.

Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet

Forecasting Time Series Data with Facebook Prophet PDF Author: Greg Rafferty
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN: 1800566522
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 270

Book Description
Create and improve high-quality automated forecasts for time series data that have strong seasonal effects, holidays, and additional regressors using Python Key Features Learn how to use the open-source forecasting tool Facebook Prophet to improve your forecasts Build a forecast and run diagnostics to understand forecast quality Fine-tune models to achieve high performance, and report that performance with concrete statistics Book Description Prophet enables Python and R developers to build scalable time series forecasts. This book will help you to implement Prophet's cutting-edge forecasting techniques to model future data with higher accuracy and with very few lines of code. You will begin by exploring the evolution of time series forecasting, from the basic early models to the advanced models of the present day. The book will demonstrate how to install and set up Prophet on your machine and build your first model with only a few lines of code. You'll then cover advanced features such as visualizing your forecasts, adding holidays, seasonality, and trend changepoints, handling outliers, and more, along with understanding why and how to modify each of the default parameters. Later chapters will show you how to optimize more complicated models with hyperparameter tuning and by adding additional regressors to the model. Finally, you'll learn how to run diagnostics to evaluate the performance of your models and see some useful features when running Prophet in production environments. By the end of this Prophet book, you will be able to take a raw time series dataset and build advanced and accurate forecast models with concise, understandable, and repeatable code. What you will learn Gain an understanding of time series forecasting, including its history, development, and uses Understand how to install Prophet and its dependencies Build practical forecasting models from real datasets using Python Understand the Fourier series and learn how it models seasonality Decide when to use additive and when to use multiplicative seasonality Discover how to identify and deal with outliers in time series data Run diagnostics to evaluate and compare the performance of your models Who this book is for This book is for data scientists, data analysts, machine learning engineers, software engineers, project managers, and business managers who want to build time series forecasts in Python. Working knowledge of Python and a basic understanding of forecasting principles and practices will be useful to apply the concepts covered in this book more easily.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Forecasting: principles and practice PDF Author: Rob J Hyndman
Publisher: OTexts
ISBN: 0987507117
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 380

Book Description
Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Introduction to Time Series Forecasting With Python

Introduction to Time Series Forecasting With Python PDF Author: Jason Brownlee
Publisher: Machine Learning Mastery
ISBN:
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 359

Book Description
Time series forecasting is different from other machine learning problems. The key difference is the fixed sequence of observations and the constraints and additional structure this provides. In this Ebook, finally cut through the math and specialized methods for time series forecasting. Using clear explanations, standard Python libraries and step-by-step tutorials you will discover how to load and prepare data, evaluate model skill, and implement forecasting models for time series data.

Advanced Data Analytics Using Python

Advanced Data Analytics Using Python PDF Author: Sayan Mukhopadhyay
Publisher: Apress
ISBN: 1484234502
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 195

Book Description
Gain a broad foundation of advanced data analytics concepts and discover the recent revolution in databases such as Neo4j, Elasticsearch, and MongoDB. This book discusses how to implement ETL techniques including topical crawling, which is applied in domains such as high-frequency algorithmic trading and goal-oriented dialog systems. You’ll also see examples of machine learning concepts such as semi-supervised learning, deep learning, and NLP. Advanced Data Analytics Using Python also covers important traditional data analysis techniques such as time series and principal component analysis. After reading this book you will have experience of every technical aspect of an analytics project. You’ll get to know the concepts using Python code, giving you samples to use in your own projects. What You Will Learn Work with data analysis techniques such as classification, clustering, regression, and forecasting Handle structured and unstructured data, ETL techniques, and different kinds of databases such as Neo4j, Elasticsearch, MongoDB, and MySQL Examine the different big data frameworks, including Hadoop and Spark Discover advanced machine learning concepts such as semi-supervised learning, deep learning, and NLP Who This Book Is For Data scientists and software developers interested in the field of data analytics.

Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python

Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python PDF Author: Ben Auffarth
Publisher: Packt Publishing Ltd
ISBN: 1801816107
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 371

Book Description
Get better insights from time-series data and become proficient in model performance analysis Key FeaturesExplore popular and modern machine learning methods including the latest online and deep learning algorithmsLearn to increase the accuracy of your predictions by matching the right model with the right problemMaster time series via real-world case studies on operations management, digital marketing, finance, and healthcareBook Description The Python time-series ecosystem is huge and often quite hard to get a good grasp on, especially for time-series since there are so many new libraries and new models. This book aims to deepen your understanding of time series by providing a comprehensive overview of popular Python time-series packages and help you build better predictive systems. Machine Learning for Time-Series with Python starts by re-introducing the basics of time series and then builds your understanding of traditional autoregressive models as well as modern non-parametric models. By observing practical examples and the theory behind them, you will become confident with loading time-series datasets from any source, deep learning models like recurrent neural networks and causal convolutional network models, and gradient boosting with feature engineering. This book will also guide you in matching the right model to the right problem by explaining the theory behind several useful models. You'll also have a look at real-world case studies covering weather, traffic, biking, and stock market data. By the end of this book, you should feel at home with effectively analyzing and applying machine learning methods to time-series. What you will learnUnderstand the main classes of time series and learn how to detect outliers and patternsChoose the right method to solve time-series problemsCharacterize seasonal and correlation patterns through autocorrelation and statistical techniquesGet to grips with time-series data visualizationUnderstand classical time-series models like ARMA and ARIMAImplement deep learning models, like Gaussian processes, transformers, and state-of-the-art machine learning modelsBecome familiar with many libraries like Prophet, XGboost, and TensorFlowWho this book is for This book is ideal for data analysts, data scientists, and Python developers who want instantly useful and practical recipes to implement today, and a comprehensive reference book for tomorrow. Basic knowledge of the Python Programming language is a must, while familiarity with statistics will help you get the most out of this book.

Time Series with Python

Time Series with Python PDF Author: Bob Mather
Publisher:
ISBN: 9780648783077
Category :
Languages : en
Pages : 222

Book Description
Are you looking to learn more about Time Series, but struggling to find them in traditional Data Science textbooks? This book is your answer. Time Series is an exciting and important part of Data Analysis. Time Series Data is more readily available than most forms of data and answers questions that cross-sectional data struggle to do. It also has more real world application in the prediction of future events. However it is not generally found in a traditional data science toolkit. There is also limited centralized resources on the applications of Time Series, especially using traditional programming languages such as Python. This book solves all these problems, and more. It starts off with basic concepts in Time Series, and switches to more advanced topics. It shows you how to set up Python from start, and goes through over 20 examples of applying both simple and advanced Time Series concepts with Python code.

Hands-on Time Series Analysis with Python

Hands-on Time Series Analysis with Python PDF Author: B V Vishwas
Publisher: Apress
ISBN: 9781484259917
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 407

Book Description
Learn the concepts of time series from traditional to bleeding-edge techniques. This book uses comprehensive examples to clearly illustrate statistical approaches and methods of analyzing time series data and its utilization in the real world. All the code is available in Jupyter notebooks. You'll begin by reviewing time series fundamentals, the structure of time series data, pre-processing, and how to craft the features through data wrangling. Next, you'll look at traditional time series techniques like ARMA, SARIMAX, VAR, and VARMA using trending framework like StatsModels and pmdarima. The book also explains building classification models using sktime, and covers advanced deep learning-based techniques like ANN, CNN, RNN, LSTM, GRU and Autoencoder to solve time series problem using Tensorflow. It concludes by explaining the popular framework fbprophet for modeling time series analysis. After reading Hands -On Time Series Analysis with Python, you'll be able to apply these new techniques in industries, such as oil and gas, robotics, manufacturing, government, banking, retail, healthcare, and more. What You'll Learn: · Explains basics to advanced concepts of time series · How to design, develop, train, and validate time-series methodologies · What are smoothing, ARMA, ARIMA, SARIMA,SRIMAX, VAR, VARMA techniques in time series and how to optimally tune parameters to yield best results · Learn how to leverage bleeding-edge techniques such as ANN, CNN, RNN, LSTM, GRU, Autoencoder to solve both Univariate and multivariate problems by using two types of data preparation methods for time series. · Univariate and multivariate problem solving using fbprophet. Who This Book Is For Data scientists, data analysts, financial analysts, and stock market researchers

Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting

Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting PDF Author: Jason Brownlee
Publisher: Machine Learning Mastery
ISBN:
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 572

Book Description
Deep learning methods offer a lot of promise for time series forecasting, such as the automatic learning of temporal dependence and the automatic handling of temporal structures like trends and seasonality. With clear explanations, standard Python libraries, and step-by-step tutorial lessons you’ll discover how to develop deep learning models for your own time series forecasting projects.
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