Author: Daryl G. Press
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 9780801474156
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 244
Book Description
"Daryl G. Press uses historical evidence to answer two crucial questions: When a country backs down in a crisis, does its credibility suffer? How do leaders assess their adversaries' credibility? Press illuminates the decision-making processes behind events such as the crises in Europe that preceded World War II, the superpower showdowns over Berlin in the 1950s and 60s, and the Cuban Missile Crisis."--Page 4 of cover.
Calculating Credibility
Author: Daryl Grayson Press
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 9780801443435
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 252
Book Description
'Calculating Credibility' examines - and ultimately rejects - a fundamental belief held by the makers of American foreign policy and laypeople alike: the notion that backing down during a crisis reduces a country's future credibility. Press looks at the decision-making processes behind key events in history.
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 9780801443435
Category : History
Languages : en
Pages : 252
Book Description
'Calculating Credibility' examines - and ultimately rejects - a fundamental belief held by the makers of American foreign policy and laypeople alike: the notion that backing down during a crisis reduces a country's future credibility. Press looks at the decision-making processes behind key events in history.
Rough Sets, Fuzzy Sets, Data Mining and Granular Computing
Author: Aijun An
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540725296
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 598
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Rough Sets, Fuzzy Sets, Data Mining, and Granular Computing, RSFDGrC 2007, held in Toronto, Canada in May 2007 in conjunction with the Second International Conference on Rough Sets and Knowledge Technology, RSKT 2007, both as part of the Joint Rough Set Symposium, JRS 2007.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540725296
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 598
Book Description
This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Rough Sets, Fuzzy Sets, Data Mining, and Granular Computing, RSFDGrC 2007, held in Toronto, Canada in May 2007 in conjunction with the Second International Conference on Rough Sets and Knowledge Technology, RSKT 2007, both as part of the Joint Rough Set Symposium, JRS 2007.
A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications
Author: Hans Bühlmann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 354029273X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 346
Book Description
This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 354029273X
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 346
Book Description
This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.
Who Fights for Reputation
Author: Keren Yarhi-Milo
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400889987
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 377
Book Description
How psychology explains why a leader is willing to use military force to protect or salvage reputation In Who Fights for Reputation, Keren Yarhi-Milo provides an original framework, based on insights from psychology, to explain why some political leaders are more willing to use military force to defend their reputation than others. Rather than focusing on a leader's background, beliefs, bargaining skills, or biases, Yarhi-Milo draws a systematic link between a trait called self-monitoring and foreign policy behavior. She examines self-monitoring among national leaders and advisers and shows that while high self-monitors modify their behavior strategically to cultivate image-enhancing status, low self-monitors are less likely to change their behavior in response to reputation concerns. Exploring self-monitoring through case studies of foreign policy crises during the terms of U.S. presidents Carter, Reagan, and Clinton, Yarhi-Milo disproves the notion that hawks are always more likely than doves to fight for reputation. Instead, Yarhi-Milo demonstrates that a decision maker's propensity for impression management is directly associated with the use of force to restore a reputation for resolve on the international stage. Who Fights for Reputation offers a brand-new understanding of the pivotal influence that psychological factors have on political leadership, military engagement, and the protection of public prestige.
Publisher: Princeton University Press
ISBN: 1400889987
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 377
Book Description
How psychology explains why a leader is willing to use military force to protect or salvage reputation In Who Fights for Reputation, Keren Yarhi-Milo provides an original framework, based on insights from psychology, to explain why some political leaders are more willing to use military force to defend their reputation than others. Rather than focusing on a leader's background, beliefs, bargaining skills, or biases, Yarhi-Milo draws a systematic link between a trait called self-monitoring and foreign policy behavior. She examines self-monitoring among national leaders and advisers and shows that while high self-monitors modify their behavior strategically to cultivate image-enhancing status, low self-monitors are less likely to change their behavior in response to reputation concerns. Exploring self-monitoring through case studies of foreign policy crises during the terms of U.S. presidents Carter, Reagan, and Clinton, Yarhi-Milo disproves the notion that hawks are always more likely than doves to fight for reputation. Instead, Yarhi-Milo demonstrates that a decision maker's propensity for impression management is directly associated with the use of force to restore a reputation for resolve on the international stage. Who Fights for Reputation offers a brand-new understanding of the pivotal influence that psychological factors have on political leadership, military engagement, and the protection of public prestige.
Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts
Author: Michel Denuit
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780470517413
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 384
Book Description
There are a wide range of variables for actuaries to consider when calculating a motorist’s insurance premium, such as age, gender and type of vehicle. Further to these factors, motorists’ rates are subject to experience rating systems, including credibility mechanisms and Bonus Malus systems (BMSs). Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts presents a comprehensive treatment of the various experience rating systems and their relationships with risk classification. The authors summarize the most recent developments in the field, presenting ratemaking systems, whilst taking into account exogenous information. The text: Offers the first self-contained, practical approach to a priori and a posteriori ratemaking in motor insurance. Discusses the issues of claim frequency and claim severity, multi-event systems, and the combinations of deductibles and BMSs. Introduces recent developments in actuarial science and exploits the generalised linear model and generalised linear mixed model to achieve risk classification. Presents credibility mechanisms as refinements of commercial BMSs. Provides practical applications with real data sets processed with SAS software. Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts is essential reading for students in actuarial science, as well as practicing and academic actuaries. It is also ideally suited for professionals involved in the insurance industry, applied mathematicians, quantitative economists, financial engineers and statisticians.
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 9780470517413
Category : Mathematics
Languages : en
Pages : 384
Book Description
There are a wide range of variables for actuaries to consider when calculating a motorist’s insurance premium, such as age, gender and type of vehicle. Further to these factors, motorists’ rates are subject to experience rating systems, including credibility mechanisms and Bonus Malus systems (BMSs). Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts presents a comprehensive treatment of the various experience rating systems and their relationships with risk classification. The authors summarize the most recent developments in the field, presenting ratemaking systems, whilst taking into account exogenous information. The text: Offers the first self-contained, practical approach to a priori and a posteriori ratemaking in motor insurance. Discusses the issues of claim frequency and claim severity, multi-event systems, and the combinations of deductibles and BMSs. Introduces recent developments in actuarial science and exploits the generalised linear model and generalised linear mixed model to achieve risk classification. Presents credibility mechanisms as refinements of commercial BMSs. Provides practical applications with real data sets processed with SAS software. Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts is essential reading for students in actuarial science, as well as practicing and academic actuaries. It is also ideally suited for professionals involved in the insurance industry, applied mathematicians, quantitative economists, financial engineers and statisticians.
Reputation for Resolve
Author: Danielle L. Lupton
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 1501747738
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 264
Book Description
How do reputations form in international politics? What influence do these reputations have on the conduct of international affairs? In Reputation for Resolve, Danielle L. Lupton takes a new approach to answering these enduring and hotly debated questions by shifting the focus away from the reputations of countries and instead examining the reputations of individual leaders. Lupton argues that new leaders establish personal reputations for resolve that are separate from the reputations of their predecessors and from the reputations of their states. Using innovative survey experiments and in-depth archival research, she finds that leaders acquire personal reputations for resolve based on their foreign policy statements and behavior. Reputation for Resolve shows that statements create expectations of how leaders will react to foreign policy crises in the future and that leaders who fail to meet expectations of resolute action face harsh reputational consequences. Reputation for Resolve challenges the view that reputations do not matter in international politics. In sharp contrast, Lupton shows that the reputations for resolve of individual leaders influence the strategies statesmen pursue during diplomatic interactions and crises, and she delineates specific steps policymakers can take to avoid developing reputations for irresolute action. Lupton demonstrates that reputations for resolve do exist and can influence the conduct of international security. Thus, Reputation for Resolve reframes our understanding of the influence of leaders and their rhetoric on crisis bargaining and the role reputations play in international politics.
Publisher: Cornell University Press
ISBN: 1501747738
Category : Political Science
Languages : en
Pages : 264
Book Description
How do reputations form in international politics? What influence do these reputations have on the conduct of international affairs? In Reputation for Resolve, Danielle L. Lupton takes a new approach to answering these enduring and hotly debated questions by shifting the focus away from the reputations of countries and instead examining the reputations of individual leaders. Lupton argues that new leaders establish personal reputations for resolve that are separate from the reputations of their predecessors and from the reputations of their states. Using innovative survey experiments and in-depth archival research, she finds that leaders acquire personal reputations for resolve based on their foreign policy statements and behavior. Reputation for Resolve shows that statements create expectations of how leaders will react to foreign policy crises in the future and that leaders who fail to meet expectations of resolute action face harsh reputational consequences. Reputation for Resolve challenges the view that reputations do not matter in international politics. In sharp contrast, Lupton shows that the reputations for resolve of individual leaders influence the strategies statesmen pursue during diplomatic interactions and crises, and she delineates specific steps policymakers can take to avoid developing reputations for irresolute action. Lupton demonstrates that reputations for resolve do exist and can influence the conduct of international security. Thus, Reputation for Resolve reframes our understanding of the influence of leaders and their rhetoric on crisis bargaining and the role reputations play in international politics.
Smart Decisions
Author: Richard Hodgett
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119309336
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 181
Book Description
Explore the fundamentals of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis with help from Excel® and R In Smart Decisions: A Structured Approach to Decision Analysis using MCDA, a distinguished team of decision-making specialists delivers a comprehensive and insightful exploration of the fundamentals of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis methods. The book offers guidance on modeling decision problems using some of the most powerful methods in operations research. Each chapter introduces a core MCDA method and guides the reader through a step-by-step approach to the implementation of the method using Microsoft® Excel® and then using R, a popular analytical language. The book also includes: A thorough, step-by-step guide to Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis methods and the application of these methods in Microsoft Excel and R Extensive illustrations, R code, and software screenshots to aid the reader’s understanding of the concepts discussed within A starter’s guide to Excel and R programming Perfect for graduate students in MBA programs and business schools, Smart Decisions: A Structured Approach to Decision Analysis Using MCDA is also an ideal resource for practitioners who apply MCDA in business, finance, applied mathematics, and engineering.
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
ISBN: 1119309336
Category : Business & Economics
Languages : en
Pages : 181
Book Description
Explore the fundamentals of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis with help from Excel® and R In Smart Decisions: A Structured Approach to Decision Analysis using MCDA, a distinguished team of decision-making specialists delivers a comprehensive and insightful exploration of the fundamentals of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis methods. The book offers guidance on modeling decision problems using some of the most powerful methods in operations research. Each chapter introduces a core MCDA method and guides the reader through a step-by-step approach to the implementation of the method using Microsoft® Excel® and then using R, a popular analytical language. The book also includes: A thorough, step-by-step guide to Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis methods and the application of these methods in Microsoft Excel and R Extensive illustrations, R code, and software screenshots to aid the reader’s understanding of the concepts discussed within A starter’s guide to Excel and R programming Perfect for graduate students in MBA programs and business schools, Smart Decisions: A Structured Approach to Decision Analysis Using MCDA is also an ideal resource for practitioners who apply MCDA in business, finance, applied mathematics, and engineering.
Frontier Computing
Author: Jason C. Hung
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811336482
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 2028
Book Description
This book presents the proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Frontier Computing, held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia on July 3–6, 2018, and provides comprehensive coverage of the latest advances and trends in information technology, science and engineering. It addresses a number of broad themes, including communication networks, business intelligence and knowledge management, web intelligence, and related fields that inspire the development of information technology. The contributions cover a wide range of topics: database and data mining, networking and communications, web and internet of things, embedded systems, soft computing, social network analysis, security and privacy, optical communication, and ubiquitous/pervasive computing. Many of the papers outline promising future research directions. The book is a valuable resource for students, researchers and professionals, and also offers a useful reference guide for newcomers to the field.
Publisher: Springer
ISBN: 9811336482
Category : Technology & Engineering
Languages : en
Pages : 2028
Book Description
This book presents the proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Frontier Computing, held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia on July 3–6, 2018, and provides comprehensive coverage of the latest advances and trends in information technology, science and engineering. It addresses a number of broad themes, including communication networks, business intelligence and knowledge management, web intelligence, and related fields that inspire the development of information technology. The contributions cover a wide range of topics: database and data mining, networking and communications, web and internet of things, embedded systems, soft computing, social network analysis, security and privacy, optical communication, and ubiquitous/pervasive computing. Many of the papers outline promising future research directions. The book is a valuable resource for students, researchers and professionals, and also offers a useful reference guide for newcomers to the field.
Rough Sets and Current Trends in Computing
Author: Wojciech Ziarko
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540430741
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 685
Book Description
This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed post-proceedings of the Second International Conference on Rough Sets and Current Trends in Computing, RSCTC 2000, held in Banff, Canada in October 2000. The 80 revised papers presented together with an introduction and three keynote presentations have gone through two rounds of reviewing and revision. The papers are organized in topical sections on granual computing, rough sets and systems, fuzzy sets and systems, rough sets and data mining, nonclassical logics and reasoning, pattern recognition and image processing, neural networks and genetic algorithms, and current trends in computing.
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN: 3540430741
Category : Computers
Languages : en
Pages : 685
Book Description
This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed post-proceedings of the Second International Conference on Rough Sets and Current Trends in Computing, RSCTC 2000, held in Banff, Canada in October 2000. The 80 revised papers presented together with an introduction and three keynote presentations have gone through two rounds of reviewing and revision. The papers are organized in topical sections on granual computing, rough sets and systems, fuzzy sets and systems, rough sets and data mining, nonclassical logics and reasoning, pattern recognition and image processing, neural networks and genetic algorithms, and current trends in computing.